Unnervingly mild and quiet weather this morning but an appalling forecast for the week ahead with gales, rain, frost and snow. Will be wet today at Ayr but at least racing goes ahead though if the forecast is correct tomorrow’s fixture will struggle and they are wisely inspecting first thing. So it will be very heavy today and that will be the key to who wins the races, not the fastest horses, rather those that handle the conditions which will suit some of our runners but certainly not all.
We start with Presenting Rose in the mares handicap hurdle at 1.45, 7 run and I think she will be fine on the ground, Stephen Mulqueen rides and she looks well treated on her better novice form.
Another Mattie (Lucy) runs in the 2.15, a competitive race for the grade and Mattie was out of form before Christmas, we’ve changed a few things with him and he wouldn’t be running if we didn’t think he was back in form – a decent run to demonstrate that would suffice, he won’t mind the ground, 9 run.
Buffalo Ballet on the other hand won’t like it at all, the race ticks every other box though so having missed a few engagements it’s worth taking him taking his chance in the hope he slops through it, his race is at 2.50, 8 run and Lucy rides.
Finally, McGinty’s Dream takes a sharp drop back in trip in the 3.20 – he has missed so many races since his promising chasing debut at Hexham in November that we are taking this chance to run out of necessity rather than choice – there isn’t a perfect race for him until next month – having said all of that he’s in great form, runs off his mark and will love the ground which will bring his stamina into play if he can keep up.
Seven runners at Kelso yesterday all home in one piece – delighted with Massini’s Lady (2nd) and Jet Master (3rd), pleased with Silk or Scarlet (8th) and Top Cat Henry (5th) a little disappointed with Gold Opera (5th) and Thomond (4th) and a bit more disappointed with Moores Novelty (12th) – he scoped clear after the race and seems fine so am hoping it was just the ground but he’s a much better horse than this, we will see if anything comes to light.